It appears Tehran is toying with the idea of mobilizing forces to attack Israel from the north – how Israel should respond?
Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Dr. Yossi Mansharof
Expert on Iran and Shiite political Islam. PhD on pro-Iranian transnational networks in the Persian Gulf.
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Dr. Yossi Mansharof: Hezbollah always has the motivation to attack Jewish sites around the world, but may be increasingly motivated to do so now. If Hezbollah thinks they are moving …
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Tehran’s cautious response: an analysis on Iran’s strategy amid rising tensions with Israel.
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The Iranian regime appears to be blocking initiatives to send forces to Lebanon, likely because it recognizes that the damage from such a move would outweigh the potential benefits.
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Once the full extent of the damage suffered by Hezbollah becomes clear in the near future, the group’s leadership will need to recalculate its approach to the war. The primary factor influencing the organization’s conduct will likely be the number of casualties, both among Hezbollah operatives and civilians.
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While Israel’s strike on Hodeidah briefly restored deterrence, recent Houthi missile and drone attacks in the Red Sea reveal the threat is far from over.